Core US Research
Paper 01
Jan 2026
VPIN and Order Flow Toxicity: A Practical Microstructure Signal for Quantitative Traders
Volume-synchronized probability of informed trading as a practical signal for detecting adverse selection in fragmented equity markets. Includes Python implementation, volume bucketing, and trade classification methods.
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Paper 03
Jan 2026
Hierarchical Risk Parity (HRP) for Portfolio Optimization
Cluster-based portfolio allocation that avoids covariance inversion and delivers more stable out-of-sample diversification. Includes correlation distance, recursive bisection, and full Python implementation.
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Paper 04
Jan 2026
Probabilistic Sharpe Ratio (PSR) and Backtest Overfitting
A statistically rigorous alternative to raw Sharpe that adjusts for non-normality, sample length, skewness, and kurtosis. Detects backtest overfitting with inferential statistics.
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Paper 05
Feb 2026
Market Microstructure: Bid-Ask Spread Dynamics
Quoted, effective, and realized spreads as microstructure state variables. Decomposing the cost of immediacy for execution models with adverse selection analysis.
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Paper 09
Feb 2026
Slippage and Latency Modeling in Backtesting
Why PnL arises from signal after implementation, not signal alone. Fill models, latency decomposition, square-root market impact, and Python fill simulators.
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